October 03 2005
Serenity Moseys to Tame Start.
""We are satisfied," Rocco[Universal's head of distribution] said. "The opening is where we thought it would be. The fan base turned out. We're hoping more will turn out in the future. I think over $10 million is a lot of business for a niche appeal picture, and I think the ancillary [DVD, etc.] will be spectacular."
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Also true that the trailers probably didn't appeal much to newcomers but I honestly wouldn't know what they should've done to change that.
EdDantes | October 03, 09:19 CET
Heck, the WB had nothing but good things to say about Angel before, during, and after they cancelled it.
KBP | October 03, 09:36 CET
[ edited by Kindred on 2005-10-03 07:42 ]
Kindred | October 03, 09:41 CET
The Fifth element shared plot elements with Serenity? WTF?
Otherwise a fair article, remembering that all of our concerns about Serenity's figures mean nothing compared to someone like Nikki Rocco's assessment. That's the kind of person who has influence on bigger decisons like Serenity 2 etc.
Now when I said that our concerns meant nothing, I didn't mean that we shouldn't support it. I am going every week for as many weeks that it is on, having already seen it three times.
Me personally, I had fantasies that it would do $40M first weekend (and $200M worldwide acros the world)and Serenity 2 would be confirmed by Tuesday morning. But they were just fantasies. Right now, reality is OK - Serenity is #2 and Rocco's happy!
catalyst2 | October 03, 09:43 CET
Thinking about the whole thing, I think the major problem was advertsing. The trailers & tv ads were pretty bland. The poster was dull. To be honest, I wouldn't have seen the film based on the press material if I hadn't so absolutely loved the show.
Love the movie too. Saw it at the Arclight on Friday night here in LA. Totally packed. Crowd loving it. Was truly great. Equal to seeing it at one of the San Francisco screenings, really. Oh, Marti Noxon was sitting a few rows behind me. Very cool.
Unitas | October 03, 09:54 CET
Someone exlain to me the chocolate river? I don't understand why she's made of chocolate.
[ edited by charisma on 2005-10-03 08:36 ]
charisma | October 03, 10:19 CET
I don't think there is any doubt that Joss made the movie he wanted to make. Sure, there are some loose ends from the series(I'd like to see more with Inara myself), but I'd say he closed the book on the Firefly, universe with style and grace and in a completley satisfying way. And for his reward he's writing/directing a huge studio summer tentpole as well as his own personal script.
Joss really did the impossible. He took this unloved, cancelled series and built this devoted(maybe too devoted) fanbase which allowed him to build his dream of a big Hollywood movie to complete his story, which opens to great reviews from both fans and critics. And that is a major accomplishment, regardless of whether there's any more.
Maybe the poster sucked.
Maybe the ads were vague.
Maybe we all underestimated the public's love for Jodie Foster.
So What?
Does that change the fact that the movie was made and was great?
No.
So let's stop with the recriminations, tell our friends to see it, but maybe not see it every night for the next two weeks. (Or if you do, do it because you love the movie and not because you think it will make a sequel more likely.)
The movie stands on its own. Serenity will fly again in some form. Just have some Faith. And Buffy:)
Son Of Shadow | October 03, 10:45 CET
Unitas | October 03, 10:53 CET
Karen The Red | October 03, 10:58 CET
ChosenOne5376 | October 03, 11:11 CET
But I thought the trailer looked great. River's fight scenes, the humor, I saw it on Saturday night 7:45. I was spazzing about finding a seat but the theatre was half empty. I was surprised.
I loved it. I am so tired of movies that are all CGI and action with no characters you can care about and no dialogue worth listening to.
I took three teenagers with me. None of them had seen Firefly, two were Buffy and Angel fans, and one never saw any Whedonverse show, just plays Halo 2 all day. They all loved it. The Halo player says it is his favorite movie ever.
The trailer was great, I thought Universal promoted it nicely, I hope that the word of mouth and critical reviews will keep it going for a long time. Look at what happened with Napoleon Dynamite! (Which wasn't even good- but I'm old so what do I know?)
Serenity was an excellent movie. Everyone I talked to who saw it liked it. The guy it front of me in the theater stood up and said, "that was like Mad Max in outer space." His tone of voice indicated that it was a good thing.
I have seen so many movies lately that were commercial successes but bad movies. If I were Joss, I would be proud to have made a good one.
Xane | October 03, 11:31 CET
I thought the trailers and the poster came up way short. I hate most trailers so that covers that subject, except trailer No. 2 (so-called international) was better but the start of it gave the impression it was a comedy. Ugh. The poster I found hard to notice in a wall full of them. There was no overriding image to grab the eye -- even on one of those giant mobile billboard trucks I saw at the the Toronto film festival. I missed noticing it the first time. Overall, it was vague and dark. I thought the so-called international poster (set in desert) was a real eye catcher, which is exactly what it has to be, whether you personallly like it or not.
When it's all said and done, what really matters most is that Serenity got made, as others pointed out. So I'm sticking with that view.
Drifter | October 03, 11:53 CET
Rather, I want the movie to be successful so that Joss can keep making movies. In the immediate future, that doesn't look to be a problem, as we all know he has two high profile films on the horizon. But say Wonder Woman underperforms, in the wake of Serenity flopping (if that's how it ends up). Then we might see Goners getting dumped...and we might see Joss having a very hard time getting his next film made. That's my concern, and the only real reason I want the film to do well.
Although, I would also say I want a lot of people to see it, so that more people will be reminded that good action films are still possible, and that they shouldn't have to settle for crap like I, Robot.
bonzob | October 03, 11:55 CET
For instance, in Joss's discussions of the Angel spinoff TV movies he has made it clear he doesn't want to create them -- he would be assigning them to some of his regular writer cronies. If, on the other hand, his schedule was turned down a notch perhaps he would pay closer attention to each piece of Whedon product that goes out the door rather than assigning them to others, and trusting that his core fandom will buy them whether or not he actually writes them. If the movies don't pan out, perhaps the guy would actually need to write the TV movies himself, and as a result they would probably be a lot more interesting than the delegated work-for-hire handed out to others they are currently slated to be.
Serapion | October 03, 12:23 CET
gossi | October 03, 13:47 CET
This isn't because I'm putting faith into what any exec would say (I would never do that--but, to be honest, execs are not always positive...did you hear the people who made The Island?), but because I'm kind of surprised we all expected it to make more. I mean, of course we want it to make more; it's a brilliant movie, the best of the year, no doubt. But it's an odd sci-fi movie (not something immediately accessible like Spider-Man; first, audiences have to get used to the whole western in space like in Star Wars, but way more literal concept) based on a show that no one ever really got the chance to see.
So...a quirky concept...no lead actors...a first-time director...and based off of a TV series that no one except us watched? For it to make $10m (over a fifth of its budget!) and rank #2 at the American box office for its first weekend, I think that's pretty incredible.
And, hey, last I looked, The Punisher flopped horribly at the box office, and guess what's in development? That's right, Punisher 2.
If Serenity never blows up at the box office, so what? It will still find an enormous home on DVD...with a jacuzzi and everything...
UnpluggedCrazy | October 03, 14:07 CET
[ edited by MySerenity on 2005-10-03 14:14 ]
MySerenity | October 03, 16:01 CET
Two scenarios - pick one (I know which one I prefer)
- major opening weekend followed by word-of-mouth driven rapid drop off in sales.
- $10M opening followed by word-of-mouth driven build up of sales
The thing about momentum is it needs, well, momentum. And time. Be patient y'all.
BTW: I went with my daughter to see Serenity for the first time on Saturday night. I NEVER pay to see a movie more than once. Well, except for "The Matrix" and "The Commitments". I'll be returning next weekend. Not because I think its my duty as a fan of JW's work, but because I know I missed things. Like what were the weapons in River's hands at the end? And are the references I think I saw to other SF classics there or not?
My opinion of the movie?
As SF, its up there with Alien and The Matrix. I adore its humour as much as Amelie and Grosse Pointe Blank. Its as heart wrenching as Little Women. (Yeah, I know I'm weird)
Joss: I loved it. Stay true to you.
redfern | October 03, 16:35 CET
Also remember that studio regemes change and just because you have support now does not mean it will be there during your next project. They will look at the bottom line and your ability to add to it, if they don't think you will pull in what they want they will not only be more skiddish about hiring you in the future but they will tend to stick their nose into your current project and muck it up as well.
[ edited by RavenU on 2005-10-03 14:47 ]
RavenU | October 03, 16:41 CET
RavenU has got it right in her post. In Hollywood, it all about money and power and you're only as successful as your last project.
killinj | October 03, 17:17 CET
Is it really? So far he has always made his best results under pressure, and from an underdog situation, fighting for his story to be told his way. ( Maybe I'm a sadist?) Making Buffy with movie ambition on a low TV-budget, each season better and better while having the threat of cancellation each season. Same thing with Angel, and not to mention Firefly itself. And now having realised Serenity against, all odds. Maybe it is in situations like this that he is able to really define what his visions really are.
I'm not worried about not seeing more of Jossey goodness in the future. We will. He is to good to be ignored, and he seems to have far to many stories yet to tell.
I have still to see serenity, and I'll have to wait till november. So bear with me , I am more in an anticipation mode.
You did it Joss! I am so proud of you and your gang.
onesnailshort | October 03, 17:25 CET
purplehazel | October 03, 17:26 CET
As Serenity is not yet released in the UK I had time to watch other films this weekend and saw the truly excellent ‘A History of Violence’. My point being, looking over his whole career, David Cronenberg is not exactly a top commercially successful director and if I remember correctly ‘Crash’, well crashed, but he managed to get this film made and released and at no point did I have the impression that the artistic vision of this movie had been interfered with or compromised. It is a really really good movie. As long as the budget is appropriate, (smaller) great movies can get made and (smaller) great movies do get made.
I read today that ‘A History of Violence’ has already made more money than his 3 previous movies together, so sometimes even the public gets it.
In short, there is hope for all of us.
miranda | October 03, 17:36 CET
Respectfully disagree. Uni is doing more than just blowing smoke on this- ten to fifteen is within their expectation, and they set aside money for a second week advertising follow-up because they knew this. Second weekend will tell us more, but expect worldwide gross to make this more than worthwhile for them and ancillary to make it pay for itself twice over. Its interesting to me how things went from 'Uni isn't advertising enough' to 'Uni is awesome the trailers are awesome' (though there was always disagreement on the posters :)) to 'Uni's advertsising for this sucked' when it failed to perform to some folks overly high expectations. Fandom is, as ever, its own worst enemy.
We've done the impossible, the BDM exists, and it is and will be successful (and even if it crashed and burned, 'There's no shame in this. It is a good death'). Take some friends and go see it again 2nd weekend, get outta yer bathtubs :)
[ edited by zeitgeist on 2005-10-03 15:41 ]
zeitgeist | October 03, 17:38 CET
I'm proud of this movie and I believe that Universal is too. They were behind the story before the DVD sales(Joss talks about this in the Visual Companion Guide). They are behind the story because they loved the story themselves. I honestly never expected Serenity to be a big hit coming out the gates, I always expected it could be a sleeper hit. And it seems like it has the potential of being that. The movie made enough money initially to satisfy Universal's estimates, the reviews are good to great and a lot of us fans are willing to go back and see it more than once (and in many cases a lot more than once).
If those of us who loved the film just repeat what we did this past weekend the numbers should stay good. There have been other movies that didn't have the big numbers at the box office but went on to have sequels and I truly think Serenity will have a sequel. We all know it is most likely going to sell like crazy on DVD just like the series has done. But I still think it will get good final numbers at the box office when it's run is done. There's only been one weekend and it took time for the fans of Firefly to find it. With the great reviews and the word of mouth that I'm sure is happening in offices all over the country by newcomers and browncoats alike we may see the box office numbers get better or stay steady, which is all it needs to do.
Firefly Flanatic | October 03, 17:52 CET
barest_smidgen | October 03, 18:53 CET
This movie is creating a buzz, people! Most people are not anxious about this spawning a sequel, they're just gonna tell their friends to go see it! Someone's friend telling them "You've GOT to see this movie, it was great!" is more powerful than ANY commercial, or ANY review. Joss has made a real accomplishment here! According to BoxOfficeMojo, "Aliens" (another crowd-pleasing action movie) went on to make 9x what it made its opening weekend, and the original "Indiana Jones" made 7x its opening weekend. And these were two movies that HAD big stars that many people were going to see in the opening weekend.
With all due respect to everyone here, I think we Joss fans tend to see ourselves too much AS a cult, a small minority who appreciate something that the masses of people are too 'ignorant' and 'dumb' to like. Sure, many people out there won't be debating the themes of belief in the movie, but this is a great, fun popcorn flick with action, humor, and drama, that has characters you care about! We didn't have a huge opening weekend because we didn't have a big star (just look at "Flightplan"), and Universal knows this.
I'm not saying right away that "Serenity" will be a "hit" per se, but I think it will do well...
It's all about the 2nd week.
Ronald_SF | October 03, 19:13 CET
And, seriously, we literally have years to wait for either a sequel or a sequel greenlight. Lots of movies have generated sequels based on catching on after the DVD was out, and frankly, Joss and co. are too busy for an immediate sequel.
I'm not totally without hope yet. I will see it next weekend, hopefully with some people -- my 2 younger cousins and possibly a couple, the male half of which is the only person who has heard of the movie independently of me. I'm serious. He's the reason I was expecting the b.o. results, modest though they are. I'll also be seeing Wallace and Gromit next weekend too, though (shhhh) I might buy a ticket to Serenity and sneak in.
dottikin | October 03, 19:15 CET
Outsider | October 03, 19:22 CET
The cult of Joss WILL grow with this film. The "Firefly" DVD has gone up to #3 on Amazon now that people are seeing the movie... to make a safe estimate, about a million people watched Joss's movie on opening weekend! Universal estimates that 60 percent of them were not already fans of the show. Many of these people will check out the DVD, come to love the Firefly-verse, and then start converting their friends by lending them DVDs or telling them to watch the movie!
Ronald_SF | October 03, 19:27 CET
zeitgeist | October 03, 20:32 CET
This said, I was annoyed to see the same quoteless ad for Serenity in the NY Times this weekend and in the Washington Post this a.m. If I weren't already a Jossfan, this kind of ad would put me off. I'd marvel at how a film that had already opened had seemingly no reviews good enough to quote and I'd make a mental note to avoid said film. With all the amazing reviews out there, surely someone could have put together a great composite of quotes for the ad by now?
phlebotinin | October 03, 20:49 CET
This is definitely a movie you need to see more than once to take it all in. I've seen in 6 times now - and will be going several more times - and I'm still finding things I've missed in previous viewings. I am doing my part both to promote the movie to other people and to go myself - not just because I want a sequel, but because I believe this is one of the best movies I've ever seen in terms of its emotional impact on me and I believe in Joss and want him to be able to do whatever he wants to do, no matter what other people want him to do.
samatwitch | October 04, 06:15 CET